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The general trend of Suzhou's agricultural product market in 2006 is expected to be: Demand has declined, resources have coexisted, and prices have risen steadily.
Fertilizer resources are more tense. As the area of ​​farmland continues to decrease and the structure of rural farming changes, the total demand for chemical fertilizers in Suzhou will drop by about 8% in 2006 compared to the same period of this year, and due to the high raw material prices for coal, electricity, and oil, the price of chemical fertilizers will stabilize in 2006. There is a rise in it. In the fourth quarter of this year, urea manufacturers have been trying hard to reduce the price of capital in order to speed up the flow of funds. This situation is abnormal in the case of rising raw material prices. Therefore, urea prices will continue to rise in 2006, and resources will be tight. With the adjustment of planting structure and the extensive use of compound fertilizers, the demand for ammonium bicarbonate will decrease by about 7% from the same period of last year. However, due to the conversion and suspension of production by various ammonium bicarbonate manufacturers in previous years, the current market resources have been significantly reduced. In 2005, Suzhou City was in short supply. Therefore, it is expected that the supply and demand of ammonium bicarbonate will remain basically the same in 2006. With the improvement of the level of scientific farming, compound fertilizer will be favored by farmers. It is expected that the sales volume of compound fertilizer will increase by about 15% in 2006; With the increase in the amount of fertilizers, the amount of phosphorus fertilizers used by farmers is significantly reduced by about 30%; the increase in the area under cultivation of economic crops due to potassium fertilizers, coupled with the serious shortage of potassium in farmland soil in Suzhou, is expected to increase by 20 in 2006. About %, but the market resources to meet the supply is not a problem.
The supply and demand of pesticides remained basically the same. Due to the rapid development of pesticide production in the past few years, the market has experienced a situation where supply exceeds demand, and competition is fierce. However, in recent years, in order to get rid of the difficulties, various pesticide production companies have adjusted their product structure, and the pesticides have been sold to production. Therefore, the supply and demand of the pesticide market will be basically balanced in 2006, and pesticide prices will remain generally stable. In 2006, the demand for high-content, low-use and low-toxicity pesticides will increase by about 20%, while the demand for traditional old-type pesticides will drop significantly. At the same time, sales of biological pesticides have also increased by a certain amount, but the proportion only accounts for about 5% of the total sales of pesticides.
The agricultural film market tends to pick up. As Suzhou City continued to adjust its agricultural planting structure in 2006, the area under cultivation of economic crops increased, and most of the economic crops needed to be nursed with agricultural film, resulting in a demand increase of around 6%. Due to the increase in the price of plastic raw materials, the price of plastic film will increase by about 8% in 2006. The agricultural film market will develop in the direction of variety and versatility.
Medical supplies are in short supply. With the increase in the level of agricultural mechanization, the demand for pesticides such as sprayers has been declining year by year, but it is still an indispensable tool for farmers to prevent and treat pests. It is predicted that the market supply in 2006 can meet the supply, but spare parts supply is in short supply and maintenance is difficult.
Fertilizer resources are more tense. As the area of ​​farmland continues to decrease and the structure of rural farming changes, the total demand for chemical fertilizers in Suzhou will drop by about 8% in 2006 compared to the same period of this year, and due to the high raw material prices for coal, electricity, and oil, the price of chemical fertilizers will stabilize in 2006. There is a rise in it. In the fourth quarter of this year, urea manufacturers have been trying hard to reduce the price of capital in order to speed up the flow of funds. This situation is abnormal in the case of rising raw material prices. Therefore, urea prices will continue to rise in 2006, and resources will be tight. With the adjustment of planting structure and the extensive use of compound fertilizers, the demand for ammonium bicarbonate will decrease by about 7% from the same period of last year. However, due to the conversion and suspension of production by various ammonium bicarbonate manufacturers in previous years, the current market resources have been significantly reduced. In 2005, Suzhou City was in short supply. Therefore, it is expected that the supply and demand of ammonium bicarbonate will remain basically the same in 2006. With the improvement of the level of scientific farming, compound fertilizer will be favored by farmers. It is expected that the sales volume of compound fertilizer will increase by about 15% in 2006; With the increase in the amount of fertilizers, the amount of phosphorus fertilizers used by farmers is significantly reduced by about 30%; the increase in the area under cultivation of economic crops due to potassium fertilizers, coupled with the serious shortage of potassium in farmland soil in Suzhou, is expected to increase by 20 in 2006. About %, but the market resources to meet the supply is not a problem.
The supply and demand of pesticides remained basically the same. Due to the rapid development of pesticide production in the past few years, the market has experienced a situation where supply exceeds demand, and competition is fierce. However, in recent years, in order to get rid of the difficulties, various pesticide production companies have adjusted their product structure, and the pesticides have been sold to production. Therefore, the supply and demand of the pesticide market will be basically balanced in 2006, and pesticide prices will remain generally stable. In 2006, the demand for high-content, low-use and low-toxicity pesticides will increase by about 20%, while the demand for traditional old-type pesticides will drop significantly. At the same time, sales of biological pesticides have also increased by a certain amount, but the proportion only accounts for about 5% of the total sales of pesticides.
The agricultural film market tends to pick up. As Suzhou City continued to adjust its agricultural planting structure in 2006, the area under cultivation of economic crops increased, and most of the economic crops needed to be nursed with agricultural film, resulting in a demand increase of around 6%. Due to the increase in the price of plastic raw materials, the price of plastic film will increase by about 8% in 2006. The agricultural film market will develop in the direction of variety and versatility.
Medical supplies are in short supply. With the increase in the level of agricultural mechanization, the demand for pesticides such as sprayers has been declining year by year, but it is still an indispensable tool for farmers to prevent and treat pests. It is predicted that the market supply in 2006 can meet the supply, but spare parts supply is in short supply and maintenance is difficult.
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