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After the Spring Festival, the urea market has made a good start. Urea prices have generally risen in the north, especially in Shandong, where prices of urea have increased significantly. Shandong urea factory quotation before the Spring Festival are all 2,000 yuan (t price, the same below), now all above 2,000 yuan, mostly 2020 to 2060 yuan.
Since October last year, cumulative rainfall in many regions of the northern winter wheat region has been less than 25 millimeters, which is significantly less than in the normal years. Shandong, Henan and other regions have not had effective rainfall for more than one hundred days. As of February 9, the affected area of ​​winter wheat in 8 provinces reached 115.59 million mu, of which 25.36 million mu were severely affected by drought, and the area affected by drought accounted for 42.4% of the winter wheat planting area in 8 provinces. Prior to this, the market worried more about dry weather because last year's fertilizer market was not booming and prices fell sharply. One of the factors was the drought in the Southwest.
However, the current situation, the impact of dry weather factors on the fertilizer market is less than expected, mainly due to the following points: First, take timely measures to deal with this year's departments at all levels to learn lessons from last year, attach great importance to the drought, early intervention, the State Council A special meeting was held to deploy drought relief, increase investment in drought-fighting funds, purchase irrigation equipment and equipment for drought relief, and provide farmers with direct subsidies for drought-resupplied irrigation, supplementing 10 yuan per mu, and using artificial precipitation to relieve drought. Second, the geographical location is relatively good. Shandong and Henan are in the plains. The facilities for watering are good and the drought-resistant water source is guaranteed. From the perspective of water storage conditions, the impounded reservoirs in the eight provinces are better than normal water storage, and the groundwater level is also rising. it is good. According to statistics from the water conservancy department, in the current drought-affected areas, about 85% of them are irrigated, and there are only 16 million to 17 million mu of land without irrigation conditions. Last year, most of the southwestern regions affected by the disaster were mountainous areas, and drought resistance was difficult and costly. Third, when wheat was sown last year, the rainfall in the early period was relatively good and the soil was still in good condition.
On February 9, snow fell in most parts of the north. Beijing, Anhui, Henan, Shandong, Shanxi, and Jiangsu took advantage of this snowfall to artificially increase rain and snow, which greatly benefits winter wheat fertilization. However, in general, the amount of rain and snow is not large and it is not fully covered, which has limited effect on alleviating drought. There is no precipitation in the drought-free areas in the north-central part of north China and north-central part of Shandong, and the drought situation will continue. The adverse impact of the drought on the fertilizer market still deserves close attention.
Since October last year, cumulative rainfall in many regions of the northern winter wheat region has been less than 25 millimeters, which is significantly less than in the normal years. Shandong, Henan and other regions have not had effective rainfall for more than one hundred days. As of February 9, the affected area of ​​winter wheat in 8 provinces reached 115.59 million mu, of which 25.36 million mu were severely affected by drought, and the area affected by drought accounted for 42.4% of the winter wheat planting area in 8 provinces. Prior to this, the market worried more about dry weather because last year's fertilizer market was not booming and prices fell sharply. One of the factors was the drought in the Southwest.
However, the current situation, the impact of dry weather factors on the fertilizer market is less than expected, mainly due to the following points: First, take timely measures to deal with this year's departments at all levels to learn lessons from last year, attach great importance to the drought, early intervention, the State Council A special meeting was held to deploy drought relief, increase investment in drought-fighting funds, purchase irrigation equipment and equipment for drought relief, and provide farmers with direct subsidies for drought-resupplied irrigation, supplementing 10 yuan per mu, and using artificial precipitation to relieve drought. Second, the geographical location is relatively good. Shandong and Henan are in the plains. The facilities for watering are good and the drought-resistant water source is guaranteed. From the perspective of water storage conditions, the impounded reservoirs in the eight provinces are better than normal water storage, and the groundwater level is also rising. it is good. According to statistics from the water conservancy department, in the current drought-affected areas, about 85% of them are irrigated, and there are only 16 million to 17 million mu of land without irrigation conditions. Last year, most of the southwestern regions affected by the disaster were mountainous areas, and drought resistance was difficult and costly. Third, when wheat was sown last year, the rainfall in the early period was relatively good and the soil was still in good condition.
On February 9, snow fell in most parts of the north. Beijing, Anhui, Henan, Shandong, Shanxi, and Jiangsu took advantage of this snowfall to artificially increase rain and snow, which greatly benefits winter wheat fertilization. However, in general, the amount of rain and snow is not large and it is not fully covered, which has limited effect on alleviating drought. There is no precipitation in the drought-free areas in the north-central part of north China and north-central part of Shandong, and the drought situation will continue. The adverse impact of the drought on the fertilizer market still deserves close attention.
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