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On December 11, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (hereinafter referred to as "China Automobile Association") held a monthly information conference for the automotive industry. Data show that from January to November, China's automobile production and sales were 25,989,800 and 25,844,900, respectively, an increase of 3.88% and 3.59% respectively. Xu Haidong, assistant secretary general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, said that from the current data, the 5% growth rate set at the beginning of this year is unlikely to be completed. It is expected that this year's growth rate will be less than 4%, and the growth rate for the next year will continue. Slow down.
â–¶ November sales record high but 5% target for the whole year is unlikely
China Automobile Association data show that in November this year, China's auto production 3.08 million, an increase of 18.69%, a year-on-year increase of 2.31%; sales of 2.9576 million, an increase of 9.73%, an increase of 0.65%, a record high monthly sales. Although sales in November were surprising, due to the high number of production and sales in November and December last year, the year-on-year growth rate was very low in November this year, which affected the overall growth rate. From January to November, automobile production and sales amounted to 29,599,800 and 25,844,900 vehicles, an increase of 3.88% and 3.59% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed by 0.39 percentage points and 0.54 percentage points from January to October. Xu Haidong expects this year's growth rate to be likely to be lower than 4%.
"For this year's growth target, in fact, at the forecasting meeting in Changsha last year, we put forward two views. If the national preferential policies for the purchase of small-displacement passenger cars do not withdraw this year, we expect the growth rate to reach 6%. If the policy is withdrawn, our forecast is 2%.†In fact, in December 2016, the State Ministry of Finance announced that it would continue to implement a policy of reducing vehicle purchase tax for vehicles with displacements of less than 1.6L. The policy has been shown since January 1, 2017. From January to December 31, vehicle purchase tax will be levied on the purchase of passenger vehicles with a displacement of 1.6 liters and below at a rate of 7.5%, and from January 1, 2018, the vehicle will be resumed at a statutory rate of 10%. Purchase tax. Xu Haidong stated: “The sales in the fourth quarter of 2015 and 2016 were all very good, mainly due to the impact of this policy. But as the marginal effect of policy weakened, the policy played a minor role. From the result point of view, the 4th quarter of this year The growth rate is flat."
â–¶ SUV growth slows down Chinese brands continue to develop
Compared with the previous month, in November of this year, the production and sales of the four categories of passenger vehicles in the major varieties of passenger vehicles all increased. Compared with the same period of last year, the production and sales of sport utility vehicles (SUVs) A slight increase, other varieties are still showing a downward trend. In addition, due to policies such as purchase tax retreat, starting from April this year, the number of passenger cars remained lower than last year as compared to last year. According to data from the China Automobile Association, in November this year, the production and sales of basic passenger cars (sedans) were 1,263,900 and 1,222,200 respectively, an increase of 20.33% and 10.40% compared with the previous period, and a year-on-year decrease of 1.37% and 4.78% respectively; The number of passenger vehicles (SUVs) produced and sold 1.136 million units and 1.1092 million units, which represented a year-on-year growth of 19.14% and 8.65%, an increase of 7.97% and 8.89% respectively. In response, Xu Haidong said: "At the beginning of the year, we forecast that the sales of SUVs will surpass that of cars. Now it is impossible to complete them. The slowdown in SUV growth is partly due to the overall decline in the overall sales volume of China's automobiles this year. On the other hand, it is because The SUV base is already large. From this year's figure, the difference between the sedan and the SUV is less than 100,000 vehicles. However, there is no doubt that the SUV is still a hot seller and will still maintain a 10% growth rate.â€
From January to November, the top ten car sales companies were: SAIC, Dongfeng, FAW, Chang'an, BAIC, GAC, Geely, Great Wall, Brilliance and Chery. Five of them had sales of more than 1 million. Compared with the same period of last year, sales volume of Geely and GAC saw double-digit and rapid growth. SAIC, FAW, and Great Wall had a slightly lower growth rate, and the other five companies had a decrease. From January to November, the above-mentioned ten companies sold a total of 22.9097 million vehicles, accounting for 88.64% of the total sales of automobiles. In addition, from January to November this year, the market share of China's auto brands reached 43.4%, a slight increase compared to 42.7% last year. It is worth noting that the market share of Korean automotive brands has fallen sharply from 7.2% last year to 4.4% this year.
â–¶ New energy car sales are expected to exceed million next year
The data shows that in the first 11 months of this year, the production and sales scale of new energy vehicles have achieved a relatively high level. In November, the production and sales volume of each month exceeded 100,000, of which sales reached 119,000, and monthly sales of new energy passenger vehicles were 83,000. Vehicle. From January to November, the production and sales were over 600,000 vehicles, close to the goal of 800,000 vehicles set at the beginning of the year. Xu Haidong said: "Over the next year it is expected to exceed 1 million vehicles."
In addition, Xu Haidong, a new force that has emerged in the past two years, said: "At present, China's new energy vehicle market is indeed a block of citrons. Therefore, many capital and Internet companies have started to intrude, and the competition for new energy vehicles has become increasingly intense. But they want to develop requires a lot of complex links, the automotive industry is capital-intensive, technology-intensive, intensive management of the industry, the market economy welcomes the entry of new carmakers, but they also have to be psychologically prepared, making cars is not so simple, eventually We must also accept the test of the market."
In particular, it is worth mentioning that starting from November, the press conference will increase the statistics on the number of charging facilities for new energy vehicles and become a regular statistic. Today, Liu Ye, from the China Electric Vehicle Charger Infrastructure Promotion Alliance, introduced the basic situation of China's current charging infrastructure. He said: “The data shows that at present, China's charging piles are mainly concentrated in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta. The layout of energy vehicles is synchronized, of which electricity flows in Guangdong, Hubei, Henan, and Fujian are dominated by buses and other special vehicles, and Shanxi Province, which mainly uses passenger cars, is based on new energy taxis.â€
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