China Drying Newsletter On November 28th, we learned from the 28th China Plant Protection Information Exchange and Pesticides Trade Fair that due to the severe competition in pesticides and the intensified competition in the domestic market, domestic pesticide prices are expected to remain flat in the next year. With the continuous improvement of agricultural production technology, the demand for pesticide products such as herbicides will increase significantly. According to statistics and forecast of plant protection and phytosanitary stations in 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) in the country, the total demand for pesticides (commodities) in China in 2013 is estimated to be 1.0244 million tons, which is 334,300 tons, an increase of 4.68%.
Zhao Qing, deputy director of the Department of Drugs and Equipment at the National Agricultural Extension Service Center, told reporters that the price of pesticide products will be affected by multiple factors next year, the foreign trade situation will be more severe, foreign trade may be returned to the domestic trade market, domestic trade competition will be more intense, so the price is difficult to predict. estimate. It is expected that most pesticide prices will remain at this year's level, and some products will fluctuate with the occurrence of pests and diseases, but the overall price will not increase. In addition, pesticide management is more standardized. Pesticide management will start with industrial upgrading, strengthening of approval control, establishment of business licenses, and implementation of law enforcement majeure. It will address the current use of overdosing in the industry, some crops are not available, dealers Leading drugs, foreign brands were favored, grassroots law enforcement officials and other issues.
It is understood that the demand for insecticides and rodenticides will decline next year, and the demand for herbicides, fungicides and plant growth regulators will increase. In particular, the demand for herbicides will increase significantly. According to Zhao Qing, the main reason for the increase of herbicides is that, with the continuous improvement of agricultural production technology, especially the promotion of light and simple cultivation techniques, the use of herbicides in field crops has increased further. Second, the rapid development of genetically modified crops, some of the weeds have risen as the main weeds, and the area and hazards of vicious weeds have become more serious. The third is the increase in herbicide resistance. According to investigations, there are currently 37 species of weeds in the country and 37 species have developed resistance to 10 types of herbicides.
According to the categories, the demand for pesticides will decrease next year, and the estimated demand will be 120,800 tons, which is 5.18% less than the previous year. The demand for acaricides is equal to the previous year, and the demand is expected to be 1.09 tons; the demand for fungicides will further increase, and the expected demand will be 84.71 million tons. The year-on-year increase of 6.64%; herbicide demand increased substantially, the expected demand was 114,200 tons, an increase of 16.32% over the previous year; demand for plant growth regulators increased, the expected demand was 3,721.13 tons, an increase of 6.86%; demand for rodenticides fell again. Expected demand 113.38 tons, a decrease of 12.75%.
Zhao Qing introduced that from the variety point of view, there are glyphosate, dichlorvos, acetochlor, copper sulphate, carbendazim, chlorpyrifos, and atrazine in descending order and the demand is more than 10,000 tons; and the demand from provinces In terms of order, the provinces with a demand of more than 20,000 tons are listed in descending order: Shandong, Heilongjiang, Hunan, Sichuan, and Henan; while the provinces with a demand of 10,000 to 20,000 tons are ranked in descending order: Guangdong, Yunnan, and Jiangsu Liaoning, Hubei, Guangxi, Anhui, Hebei, Zhejiang, Jilin and Jiangxi.
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