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Xu Changming, director of the Information Resources Development Department of the State Information Center and senior economist, said that China’s economic transformation is currently taking place at a rapid pace, and the transition related to heavy trucks is mainly reflected in the following four aspects: First, the potential economic growth rate is declining, and the second is growth. The conversion of power, that is to say, is driven by exports to domestic demand, from investment to consumption, thirdly, industrial restructuring and upgrading, and fourth, market strength. These transitions have led to two major trends in the future development of the heavy truck market. First, the speed of development has to be reduced. Second, product technology must be upgraded. For 2015 sales in the heavy truck market, Xu Changming predicts that with the drop in investment this year, the highest level will be 500,000 vehicles, which is estimated to be around 450,000 vehicles in the whole year. If the economy continues to decline in 2016, demand for the heavy truck market will decline in the future. However, Xu Changming also stated that in the future, as the structure is adjusted to a certain level, the total economic output will increase, and heavy trucks may pick up, but the market growth rate is only 3% to 4%, which is lower than the GDP growth rate of 2 to 3 percentage point.
In addition, Xu Changming said that although domestic heavy truck companies are responding to the impact of e-commerce and some alternative modes of transportation on the market, although commercial vehicle brands are dominant relative to overseas companies, importers’ vehicles, especially heavy trucks, are at 1,000. The market share of mainline transportation above km is still relatively small, but domestic enterprises cannot be blindly optimistic. It is recommended that in addition to improving the quality of products, it is also necessary to effectively control costs, such as cost reduction through scale, cost reduction through technology, or Scale cooperation reduces costs. If domestic companies do not work hard in this regard, they still rely on the original low-cost competition, and relying on the existing technology level is very dangerous.
EdmundChew: Although future truck sales fell but its value <br> <br> truck Industrial Research (TruckIndustryResearch) puts enhance research director EdmundChew said 2016 sales of heavy truck market will further decline. The future China heavy truck market will face three major challenges. First, the source of demand will change, including changes in the demand for vehicles in the construction industry, and the demand for vehicles brought by the adjustment of the logistics industry. Second, the regulatory changes will bring about market fluctuations to the heavy truck industry, including significant changes in the annual sales volume of the heavy truck market. Thirdly, the change in the competition mode of the heavy truck industry will bring about new adjustments to the heavy truck industry. This may have some major devastating effects.
In addition, Edmund Chew also said that from the assessment of the market size of the heavy truck industry, the current industry is generally used to assess sales, although intuitive, but this is not very accurate, heavy truck market should also see its value. Edmund Chew predicts that in the next decade, the value of trucks will increase by two or three times from the current level, even if its sales volume is declining. In the future, the demand for trucks in the market will also rise from the low-end to the high-end, and the introduction of the National V and National VI emission standards will become the mainstream.
Energy saving: businesses and governments need to work together Li Xiangping: While optimized technology also called on government forces to promote energy conservation <br> <br> general manager of Iveco (China) Commercial Vehicle Sales Co., Ltd. Li Xiangping said, Technological progress and technological innovation are important ways for reducing emissions from heavy-duty commercial vehicles. During the entire vehicle manufacturing process, only the optimization of key technologies, such as the powertrain technology of vehicle manufacturers, vehicle weight reduction technology, and aerodynamics technology, can minimize the emission of pollutants from the vehicle. . In addition to vehicle manufacturers, reducing exhaust emissions requires other external factors such as improving public infrastructure and traffic control as well as the driver’s own driving habits. In addition, the role of the government can not be ignored, but compared with the market, the government's strength is still relatively weak, the government should bring together all the interest groups in order to maximize the effect, relying on manufacturers to complete energy-saving emission reduction tasks are not enough.
Lin Hao Day: natural gas engines can reduce emissions, government-funded guarantee gas supplies <br> <br> Murphy Icahn control technology (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. Lin Hao, vice president and general manager, Asia Pacific Japan, today's situation, Natural gas engines are one of the optimized solutions to promote energy-saving and emission reduction. Because natural gas engines can produce less emissions of nitrogen oxides, carbon dioxide, and PM, and the application technology of natural gas vehicles is relatively mature, thereby reducing costs. In addition, the abundant reserves and use of shale gas have greatly changed China's energy situation. At the same time, challenges also exist, such as relatively complex mining techniques, deeper exploitation, and insufficient natural gas pipelines. At present, China still imports large quantities of high-priced natural gas. To change this situation, the Chinese government is also trying to invest in the construction of gas station infrastructure to change this situation.
Logistics: demand for cars to high-end development where the ink pool: industry consolidation, the total transport companies over the next 10 years will be reduced to 70,000 <br> <br> Scania China Strategic Center Executive Director Ho ink tank, said the development of heavy truck industry In addition to factors such as the macro environment, regulatory environment, industry development, and vehicle manufacturer supply, transportation efficiency and transportation specialization also have different degrees of influence on market size. At present, industry consolidation has only just begun. In the future, China's low-end heavy truck market will disappear. Once China implements the national VI emission standards, the entire market will become high-end. From a logistics point of view, the total number of transport companies in the next 10 years will be reduced from the current 760,000 to 70,000.
Mike Harman: efficient, low-power products will become the first choice for the future of the logistics industry, vice president of worldwide sales <br> <br> Kangmai company Mike Harman said similar changes faced by China's logistics and change over the past 15 to 20 years in the United States, Such as the rapid development of urbanization, the government to develop policies to promote, pay more attention to the consumer economy and the gradual formation of the axis and spoke mode. In the future, trucks will be more focused on long-distance transportation and driving speeds will be higher. This will be a new challenge for the truck industry. In addition, the needs of future users will also change, and lower costs, higher horsepower, lower fuel consumption, and more reliable parts and equipment will become mainstream, ultimately reducing downtime and maximizing equipment utilization.
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